Threat reportPhishingTL-2026-0878

Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Report: Encrypted Phishing & AiTM/BiTM Initial-Access Campaigns Targeting the Public Sector

highACTIVE

Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Report (TL-2026-0878), also tracked as One Click to Compromise, is a high-severity phishing campaign, first published 2026-06-19. It has no confirmed attribution, affects Microsoft Microsoft 365 / Entra ID identity (most-impersonated brand, maps to 18 MITRE ATT&CK techniques (T1056.003, T1078, T1078.004), and is covered by 9 detection rules and 18 indicators of compromise.

Severity
HIGHAssessed severity
CVEs
0None referenced
Techniques
18MITRE ATT&CK
Actors
0Not attributed
Detection rules
9SPL · KQL · Sigma
IOCs
18Indicators of compromise

Key facts for TL-2026-0878

Threat ID
TL-2026-0878
Also known as
One Click to Compromise, ThreatLabz 2026 Phishing and Initial Access Report
Severity
HIGH
Status
ACTIVE
Category
PHISHING
First published
Last reviewed
Attribution confidence
NONE
Motivation
FINANCIAL
Target sectors
government, healthcare, education, financial, services
Target regions
North America, Europe, South America
Detection rules
9
Indicators of compromise
18

Malware and tooling in Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Report

Malware and tooling: AiTM reverse-proxy / BiTM remote-browser relay, BlackForce, EvilProxy, Evilginx, Sneaky 2FA, Tycoon 2FA

How Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Report works

Zscaler ThreatLabz's 2026 Phishing and Initial Access Report documents a 50% year-over-year surge in phishing against government (138.5M hits in 2025, the third-most-targeted industry), with 95.2% of phishing now delivered over encrypted channels. Adversary-in-the-middle (AiTM) and browser-in-the-middle (BiTM) phishing-as-a-service kits capture credentials and live MFA session tokens, while AI website-builder tools mass-produce high-fidelity phishing infrastructure.

The Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Phishing and Initial Access Report ("One Click to Compromise") and its public-sector companion analysis describe a structural shift in initial-access tradecraft: overall phishing volume in the Zscaler cloud fell ~20% year over year (in both 2024 and 2025), but the surviving campaigns are more targeted, more AI-assisted, and harder to distinguish from legitimate activity. Government phishing rose 50% YoY to 138.5 million hits in 2025, ranking government the third-most-targeted industry; the Services sector saw the largest surge, climbing 65.5% from 330.9M to 547.7M hits. 95.2% of all phishing activity is now delivered over encrypted (TLS) channels, defeating defenses that do not perform consistent encrypted-traffic inspection.

The report's central tradecraft finding is the operationalization of adversary-in-the-middle (AiTM) and browser-in-the-middle (BiTM) phishing kits. These kits position a reverse proxy (or a remotely controlled browser session) between the victim and the legitimate identity provider, relaying the authentication flow in real time to capture both credentials and the post-MFA session cookie. Because the live session token is stolen after the MFA challenge succeeds, the attacker turns a single click into session-level compromise and bypasses legacy MFA (SMS one-time codes, TOTP, and push notifications). ThreatLabz cites BlackForce as an example phishing-as-a-service platform in this ecosystem; corroborating public research documents the broader AiTM PhaaS market — Tycoon 2FA (attributed to Storm-1747), EvilProxy, Sneaky 2FA, NakedPages, and the open-source Evilginx framework — sold for roughly $100-$1,000 per month and mapping to MITRE T1557 (Adversary-in-the-Middle), T1539 (Steal Web Session Cookie), and T1556.006 (Modify Authentication Process: MFA).

A second major theme is AI-generated phishing infrastructure. ThreatLabz identified 413,524 AI-generated site instances across the analysis period, of which 37,447 (9.06%) were flagged as malicious. The generation platforms most attributed were Manus AI (15.6%), Blackbox AI (14.3%), and Anything AI (9.8%), alongside DeepSite AI and Lovable AI. These tools let adversaries spin up pixel-accurate brand-impersonation sites in minutes rather than days. A specific observed campaign impersonated Brazilian government services (paired with instant-payment-system credential theft) using DeepSite AI and Blackbox AI. Microsoft and Google remain the most-impersonated brands, abused via credential-harvesting pages, SEO poisoning, and QR-code redirects.

The report also frames reconnaissance as a leading indicator of intrusion: ThreatLabz recorded 89.9 million hostile interactions with external decoys over six months and 121,000+ distinct AWS-hosted IPs probing customer environments. For the public sector specifically, healthcare saw 1.58 million encrypted attack hits while education recorded 1.6 billion encrypted attack hits over the year despite a 65.6% YoY decline in phishing attempts. Recommended defenses center on consistent TLS inspection, FIDO2/phishing-resistant authentication, identity-based least-privilege access that minimizes application exposure, monitoring for AI-generated phishing infrastructure, and extending visibility beyond the inbox to browsers, authentication flows, and SaaS sessions.

MITRE ATT&CK techniques used in TL-2026-0878

Credential Access

T1056.003 Web Portal Capture; T1539 Steal Web Session Cookie; T1556.006 Multi-Factor Authentication; T1557 Adversary-in-the-Middle

Persistence

T1078 Valid Accounts

Initial Access

T1078.004 Cloud Accounts; T1189 Drive-by Compromise; T1566 Phishing; T1566.002 Spearphishing Link

command-and-control

T1102 Web Service; T1573 Encrypted Channel

Command and Control

T1102.002 Bidirectional Communication

Resource Development

T1583 Acquire Infrastructure; T1588.002 Tool; T1608.005 Link Target

Reconnaissance

T1589 Gather Victim Identity Information; T1595 Active Scanning

stealth

T1684.001 Impersonation

Affected products and versions in Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Report

  • Microsoft — Microsoft 365 / Entra ID identity (most-impersonated brand; AiTM session-cookie theft target)
    Vulnerable versions: legacy MFA: SMS OTP, TOTP, push notifications
    Fixed in: FIDO2 / WebAuthn phishing-resistant authentication
  • Google — Google Workspace identity (most-impersonated brand; AiTM session-cookie theft target)
    Vulnerable versions: legacy MFA: SMS OTP, TOTP, push notifications
    Fixed in: FIDO2 / WebAuthn phishing-resistant authentication
  • Public Sector — Government, healthcare, and education organizations (third-most-targeted industry; Brazilian government services impersonation observed)
    Vulnerable versions: organizations without consistent TLS inspection or phishing-resistant MFA
    Fixed in: Zero Trust + FIDO2 + encrypted-traffic inspection

Remediation for Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Report

Immediate actions

  • Inspect encrypted/TLS traffic consistently at the proxy/gateway so the 95.2% of phishing delivered over encrypted channels is not invisible
  • Hunt for and revoke anomalous active session cookies; enforce short session lifetimes and re-authentication on sensitive actions to blunt AiTM session-token replay
  • Block known AiTM/BiTM PhaaS and AI-website-builder infrastructure (Manus AI, Blackbox AI, Anything AI, DeepSite AI, Lovable AI generated sites flagged malicious)

Workarounds

  • Conditional-access policies binding sessions to device compliance and network/location to reduce stolen-cookie replay value
  • Block or sandbox QR-code links and newly-registered look-alike domains; restrict use of unmanaged browsers for privileged identity flows

Longer-term hardening

  • Deploy FIDO2/WebAuthn phishing-resistant authentication to remove the most reliable click-to-session-compromise path
  • Apply identity-based least-privilege (Zero Trust) access controls that minimize public application exposure
  • Extend monitoring beyond the inbox to browsers, authentication flows, and SaaS sessions; deploy deception/decoy technology for early reconnaissance detection

Weaknesses (CWE) in Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Report

CWE-1021, CWE-290, CWE-294, CWE-384, CWE-451

Timeline of Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Report

  • Tycoon 2FA AiTM phishing-as-a-service kit first observed (attributed to Storm-1747), industrializing real-time MFA-bypass tradecraft later seen across the 2026 ecosystem.
  • Overall phishing volume in the Zscaler cloud begins its ~20% year-over-year decline, continuing through 2024 and 2025 as campaigns shift to targeted, AI-assisted operations.
  • 2025 telemetry period analyzed: government phishing reaches 138.5 million hits (+50% YoY); Services industry climbs 65.5% from 330.9M to 547.7M hits.
  • Six-month window recording 89.9 million hostile interactions with external decoys and 121,000+ distinct AWS-hosted IPs probing customer environments.
  • 413,524 AI-generated site instances identified; 37,447 (9.06%) flagged malicious, attributed to Manus AI (15.6%), Blackbox AI (14.3%), Anything AI (9.8%), DeepSite AI and Lovable AI.
  • Observed campaign impersonating Brazilian government services using DeepSite AI and Blackbox AI, paired with instant-payment-system credential theft.
  • Microsoft publishes in-depth analysis of Tycoon2FA AiTM operations at scale, corroborating the PhaaS MFA-bypass tradecraft described by ThreatLabz.
  • Zscaler ThreatLabz publishes the 2026 Phishing and Initial Access Report ('One Click to Compromise') and press release noting a nearly 50% increase in phishing with education, finance, and government most targeted.
  • Zscaler publishes the public-sector companion analysis: 95.2% of phishing over encrypted channels; government third-most-targeted; healthcare 1.58M and education 1.6B encrypted attack hits.

Sources cited for Zscaler ThreatLabz 2026 Report

Detection coverage for TL-2026-0878

As of 2026-06-19, Threadlinqs Intelligence publishes 9 detection rule(s) for TL-2026-0878 across Splunk SPL, Microsoft KQL and Sigma, covering 18 indicator(s) of compromise. The whole corpus is readable without an account; a free account unlocks full detection query text in Splunk SPL, Microsoft KQL and Sigma; paid tiers add raw indicator values, correlation and the MCP server. Threadlinqs MCP server · View plans.

9 detection rules (Splunk SPL, Microsoft KQL, Sigma) · Blue and above. Compare plans
18 indicators of compromise · Red and above. Compare plans

Further reading

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